───────────────────────────────────────
作者 Yaomini (要命要命真要命)
看板 NBAEasyChat
標題 [新聞] Charley Rosen評2008美國奧運男籃隊
時間 Wed Jun 25 14:57:05 2008
───────────────────────────────────────
by Charley Rosen
Charley Rosen is FOXSports.com's NBA analyst and author of 14
books abouthoops, the current one being No Blood, No Foul.
Updated: June 23, 2008, 6:45 PM EST
美國奧運隊在中國必定會遭遇到比去年FIBA錦標賽更強勁的競爭,12人名單變化如下:
--2007 FIBA美洲男籃錦標賽 美國隊陣容--
G Chauncey Billups
G Kobe Bryant
F Carmelo Anthony
C Amare Stoudamire
G Deron Williams
G Michael Redd
F LeBron James
C Tyson Chandler
G Jason Kidd
G Mike Miller
F Tayshaun Prince
C Dwight Howard
--2008 中國奧運 美國隊陣容--
G Dwyane Wade
G Kobe Bryant
F Carmelo Anthony
F Carlos Boozer
G Deron Williams
G Michael Redd
F LeBron James
F Chris BoshG Jason Kidd
G Chris Paul
F Tayshaun Prince
C Dwight Howard
在開始進行評估前,要注意到NBA跟國際賽的不同是很重要的,有以下幾點:
‧球在碰到籃框後可以去觸碰‧防守方會比較傾向於站住位置來製造撞人,而不是試圖要去打火鍋
‧大部分的球隊在面對有速度、靈敏和天賦異稟的美國隊時,將會採用區域防守,使得 中
距離投射的重要性提高‧這也是外國球隊中較佳的隊伍會把球賽節奏拖緩的原因
‧在區域防守下,進一步地壓縮了高大球員在油漆區施展動作的空間與時間‧梯形三秒區迫使他們離籃框較遠,排擠到內線的得分‧相同的油漆區讓跳投時搶進攻籃板的球員有不少的優勢,籃下卡位極為重要
‧進攻方面,高位擋切(high screen-and-rolls)會是對抗的焦點,這是很多美國隊無法
掌握的戰術
‧較短的三分線一向是對美國隊有利的
控球後衛(Point Guards):
Jason Kidd比以前還要慢,依然沒有投射能力,但他極不自私,有著不可思議的全場視野,
總是能夠做出正確的傳導。然而,他最顯著的貢獻是他驚人的競賽企圖心,當Kidd在場時,
他的隊友從未放棄過任何一球。
Chris Paul是位速度奇佳,防守上善於抄球,以及有傑出的擋切(screen-and-roll)的球員
,他去年因為被認為缺乏strength而沒有入選,這點至今仍有疑慮。此外,他缺乏可靠的外
圍投射能力也是個問題,使得面對區域防守時執行檔切進攻的困難增加。
Deron Williams強壯、精明、有創意,也夠快。他自然是這個位置上最好的遠程射手,但是
還沒達到人球一體的境界。
〔評〕防守只有中等,投籃低於水平,有些微的優勢。
側翼(Wings):
在與Celtics的銅牆鐵壁作戰之後,Kobe Bryant會感到如釋放一樣的感覺,從證明自己是真
正的偉大裡給逃脫出來。在進攻和一對一的防守下,他可隨心所欲的做他想做的,但防守擋
切依然是他的弱點之ㄧ。
Dwyane Wade健康、休養足、渴望出戰。然而,他強勢的切入會稍微受制於區域防守,搖搖
晃晃的跳投是薄弱的一環,快攻和early offense是Wade最大的優勢和效用,而且他的防守
總是被低估,這個優點將會顯現出來。
Michael Redd是隊上唯一的優質射手,他可以破壞區域防守,對手的區域防守勢必要隨著他
來轉移。
Tayshaun Prince的長手長腳可帶來額外的補籃、破壞、阻攻和抄截,靈活、老練和多工彌
補了他強度的不足,不過以陣容來看,他上場的時間可能不多。
〔評〕無可匹敵的能力,最強之終結者組合,優秀的全面防守,神槍手有Kobe和Redd,
和以往一樣在比賽中有著巨大的優勢。
大前鋒(Power Forwards):
LeBron James可以打小前鋒和大前鋒,在這兩個位置他都能夠取分,因為他實在太強壯又獨
特,他能穿越最嚴密的禁區,在較短的三分線和較弱的防守下,他的外圍投射也會更加的有
效。此外,他還可以自己抓籃板,自己發動快攻。預期James是隊上最重要的球員。
Carmelo Anthony同樣也可以在小前和大前間搖擺,最被看重的是他自己創造機會的能力,
和防堵中距離的跳跳人,然而他的防守總是不及格,冀望到了八月可以有所改善。
Chris Bosh是唯一的標準大前鋒,底線和罰球線的中距離很不錯,而且有足夠的速度來跟上
隊友,但他不是個強勢的防守者,弱邊的突襲封阻會較弱。
〔評〕James和Anthony的移動力、球的掌握和創造性無人能敵,但防守仍有待觀察。
中鋒(Centers):
Carlos Boozer可以,也將會負責前場的兩個位置,他的籃板、中距離和強度會相當好用,
但他的背框進攻在面對區域包夾時缺乏爆發力。
Dwight Howard的任務就是籃板,當然還有他的阻攻,以及利用他強力的沉底步法和不錯的
傳球能力來讓對手的區域防守超載。就整體來說,他防守不佳,罰球也不穩,但是他抓籃板
的能力將是執行快打炫風的關鍵要素。
〔評〕無與倫比的力量,薄弱的防守。
美國隊展望:
有著無可比擬的運動能力、速度和敏銳。由Kidd主導的節奏,無私的傳球將能創造灌籃、上
籃以及大量無人防守的投射機會,在James、Boozer和Howard的加持下,應該也能擁有籃板
優勢。但尚有若干缺陷:
‧在比賽極需要外線火力時,只有Redd、Bryant和Anthony是合格的神射手。
‧撇開Paul的冒險抄球來看,夠格的大鎖只有Bryant和Prince。
‧他們的內線防守會被機伶的對手所撕裂。
‧防守擋切仍將是個棘手的問題。
‧威力(Power)僅侷限於Boozer、Howard和James三人。
同樣地,這支隊伍背負著必勝的使命,不管有多少場的比數是如此的接近,我預測美國隊將
能靠著他們的天份和板凳深度來贏得金牌。
※譯者:翻的不好的地方請鞭小力一點,謝謝 ┌(╴ ╴)┐--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
原文:
There's no question that, in China, America's Olympic squad will face much better competition than it did in last summer's FIBA tournament. Yet the roster is essentially the same.
What then, might be expected from this latest version of Team USA?
Before engaging in a scouting report, it's important to note several game- changing differences between the NBA and top-echelon international competition.
Here are a few:
The fact that the ball can be touched after it hits the rim virtually eliminates goal-tending, a rule which runs counter the instincts developed in stateside hoops.
Instead of attempting to block shots, opposing defenders will almost always look to hold their positions and draw charging fouls.
Most opponents will employ zone defenses to counter Team USA's superiority in speed, quickness and sheer talent. This increases the importance of perimeter shooting.
That's also why the better foreign teams will also try to slow the game to a crawl.
The zone defenses further serve to severely curtail the time and space that big men require to execute their in-the-paint moves.
The trapezoid 3-second lane also marginalizes interior scorers by forcing them to begin their maneuvers further away from the goal.
The same paint area gives offensive rebounders a considerable edge during free throws and makes boxing-out imperative.
On offense, most of the competition will focus on high screen-and-rolls — a game plan that too many American teams have been unable to control.
The shorter 3-point line is a boon to shooters on every team.
Point guards
Jason Kidd is slower than ever and still can't shoot. But he's incredibly unselfish, has uncanny court-vision and virtually always makes the correct pass. J-Kidd's most significant contribution, however, is his ferocious competitive drive. None of his teammates will ever take a play off with Kidd on the scene.
Chris Paul is quick as a wish, a ball-hawking defender and a superb screen-and- roll player. He failed to be selected last summer because of a perceived lack of strength, which remains a concern. Other problems with Paul are his lack of a reliable outside shot, plus the difficulties in running screen/roll offenses vs. zones.
Deron Williams is strong, smart, creative and quick enough. He's easily the best long-distance shooter at this position, yet he's still not automatic.
Verdict: Only average defense. Below average shooting. Given the peculiarities of Olympic competition, a slight advantage over their international peers.
Wings
After battling the Celtics stonewall defense, Kobe Bryant will feel like he's just been let out of jail. He'll also be out to prove his true greatness. On offense and in man-to-man defensive situations, he'll be able to do what he wants when he wants. As ever, defending screen-and-rolls remains one of Bryant's weaknesses.
Dwyane Wade will be healthy, well-rested and raring to go. However, his power drives will be somewhat inhibited by the zones and his shaky jumpers will be exposed. Wade's effectiveness will show its best advantage in fast break and early offense situations. His defense has always been underrated and will show to good advantage here.
Michael Redd is the only deluxe shooter on the team. Look for him to be a one- man zone-buster though opposing defenses will point their zones in his direction.
Tayshaun Prince's long-limbed defense will create an inordinate amount of tips, deflections, blocked shots and outright steals. His lack of strength will be offset by his quickness, savvy and versatility. Given the structure of the squad, Prince won't be granted much playing time.
Verdict: Incomparable athleticism. Some of the best finishers ever assembled. Good overall defense, but only Kobe and Redd are dead-eye shooters. Still, a huge edge over the competition.
Power Forwards
LeBron James will swing between the small and power forward slots. At either position, he'll be a powerhouse scorer because he's so strong and so creative that he'll be able to penetrate into the paint against even the most forbidding zones. Given the shorter 3-point line and lesser efenders, James' outside shooting will also be vastly more effective. Plus, he has the ability to grab a rebound and unilaterally initiate a fast break. Look for James to be the single most important player on the team.
Carmelo Anthony will likewise alternate between the two forward positions. Of all of his considerable talents, his ability to create his own shots and plug perimeter springers will be most emphasized. And if he's never played adequate defense before, he's sure not going to start doing so come August.
Chris Bosh is the lone legitimate power forward. He's a wonderful mid-range shooter from the baseline and the foul line, and he's fast enough to run with his teammates. Too bad that except for an occasional foray to block shots from the weak side, Bosh is a lightweight defender. On this team, Bosh rates as the last man off the pine.
Verdict: No other team can hope to match the mobility, ball-handling and creativity of James and Anthony. Their defense, though, is questionable.
Carlos Boozer can — and will — play both frontcourt spots. His rebounding, mid-range shooting and general toughness will be put to good use. But his post- up game lacks the explosiveness to be effective against sagging zones.
Dwight Howard's task is to rebound. Period. Sure, he'll block an occasional shot and execute one of his power drop-steps when good pass-work makes opponents pay for overloading their zones. But his overall defense is weak and his free-throw shooting is unpredictable. Howard's ability to clean the glass will be a critical component in the running game.
Verdict: Unsurpassed power matched with easily surpassed defense.
Team USA's outlook
In the long view, Team USA has unbeatable athleticism, speed and uickness. With Kidd setting the tone, their unselfish passing will create dunks, layups and a bountiful number of open shots. With James, Boozer and Howard, they should also be able to dominate the boards.
Yet this team does have several flaws:
In a competition where outside shooting is absolutely necessary, only Redd, Bryant and Anthony qualify as dead-eye jump shooters.
Discounting Paul's ball-swiping gambles, the only lock-down defenders are Bryant and Prince.
Their interior defense can be exploited by clever opponents.
Screen-and-roll defense will still be troublesome.
Their power is limited to Boozer, Howard and James.
As ever, this team will have to run to succeed.
Prediction: Despite a surprising number of relatively close games, Team USA's overwhelming talent and depth will enable them to win the gold.